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                  US scientist relights
                  fuse to population bomb
                  
                   by Jaya
                  Dayal 
                  
                  UNITED NATIONS, Apr 20 (IPS) - A U.S.
                  scientist Wednesday relit the fuse of the
                  population bomb when she warned of imminent
                  environmental doom in the developing countries of
                  the South. 
                  
                  Donella Meadows, a systems analyst and
                  university professor at Dartmouth College, singled
                  out population growth in the Third World as the
                  leading threat to the environment. 
                  
                  "We are beyond the carrying capacity of" the
                  planet, Meadows said, noting assertions that the
                  earth can comfortably sustain a maximum of "between
                  two and eight billion people." 
                  
                  "We must not just stop but reduce population
                  growth," Meadows stressed, noting the challenge
                  this would entail given the world's expanding 5.6
                  billion population. 
                  
                  Meadows made her comments here at a discussion
                  on population, consumption and the environment
                  before U.N. and non-governmental organisation (NGO)
                  officials. 
                  
                  The meeting was co-sponsored by the
                  Washington-based Pew Global Stewardship Initiative,
                  a research body seeking to help forge a U.S. policy
                  in advance of the International Conference on
                  Population and Development (ICPD) in Cairo this
                  September. 
                  
                  According to Meadows, resources like water, coal
                  and fertile soil are running out, largely because
                  "we already have too many people for the resource
                  base." 
                  
                  Rather than propose development alternatives,
                  technology sharing, or massive changes in
                  consumption patterns, Meadows focussed on halting
                  population growth as the means to saving the
                  environment. 
                  
                  She noted that "Rich people have as hard a time
                  learning to consume less, as people in poor
                  countries have learning not to have so many
                  babies." 
                  
                  Her comments drew fire by both Nordic and Asian
                  observers inthe audience who challenged the basis
                  and conclusions of Meadows' findings. 
                  
                  "It is alarming and disturbing to come back to
                  demographics and this panic approach to population
                  after all that's been said about development,"
                  Kalpana Sharma of India said. 
                  
                  Meanwhile, according to a survey conducted by
                  the Pew Global Stewardship Initiative, 48 percent
                  of U.S. citizens consider rapid population growth
                  "a very serious problem," compared to 42 percent
                  who think the same about threats to the global
                  environment. 
                  
                  The survey, released Wednesday, finds that 73
                  percent of U.S. citizens believe a population
                  increase of three billion people in the next 20
                  years will have a negative impact on the
                  environment. 
                  
                  This despite the fact that every day, on
                  average, a U.S. citizen consumes his or her body
                  weight in resources extracted from farms, forests,
                  rangelands and mineral deposits. 
                  
                  The survey finds that some 52 percent of the
                  roughly 2,000 people surveyed worry that this
                  population increase "will worsen their quality of
                  life". 
                  
                  But resource consumption in the industrialised
                  world bears the lion's share of responsibility for
                  many global environmental problems, including
                  climate change and ozone depletion. 
                  
                  "Many voters indicated they cherish the ability
                  to consume more than people elsewhere, and many
                  people perceive their ability to consume at high
                  levels as an earned privilege," the survey
                  says. 
                  
                  It notes that rather then agree to change
                  lifestyles or ways of doing business to require
                  less consumption, most people surveyed prefer
                  instead to be less wasteful. 
                  
                  "Many voters recoil at the notion...of reducing
                  real comforts in their lives," the survey says. 
                  
                  Meanwhile, it finds that 57 percent of U.S.
                  citizens agree that rapid population growth in
                  developing countries is to blame for international
                  problems, including civil wars, regional conflict
                  and economic problems. 
                  
                  Moreover, 45 percent believe that "slowing
                  population growth in other countries" will reduce
                  immigration into the United States. 
                  
                  To this end, 55 percent of U.S. citizens are in
                  favour of U.S. programmes to intervene in other
                  countries to help slow population growth. 
                  
                  This 55 percent believes it is more important
                  for the U.S. to encourage developing countries to
                  lower their birth rates rather than to worry about
                  offending other peoples' cultures. 
                  
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                  [c] 1994, InterPress Third World News
                  Agency (IPS) 
                  All rights reserved
                  
                  
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