US scientist relights
fuse to population bomb
by Jaya
Dayal
UNITED NATIONS, Apr 20 (IPS) - A U.S.
scientist Wednesday relit the fuse of the
population bomb when she warned of imminent
environmental doom in the developing countries of
the South.
Donella Meadows, a systems analyst and
university professor at Dartmouth College, singled
out population growth in the Third World as the
leading threat to the environment.
"We are beyond the carrying capacity of" the
planet, Meadows said, noting assertions that the
earth can comfortably sustain a maximum of "between
two and eight billion people."
"We must not just stop but reduce population
growth," Meadows stressed, noting the challenge
this would entail given the world's expanding 5.6
billion population.
Meadows made her comments here at a discussion
on population, consumption and the environment
before U.N. and non-governmental organisation (NGO)
officials.
The meeting was co-sponsored by the
Washington-based Pew Global Stewardship Initiative,
a research body seeking to help forge a U.S. policy
in advance of the International Conference on
Population and Development (ICPD) in Cairo this
September.
According to Meadows, resources like water, coal
and fertile soil are running out, largely because
"we already have too many people for the resource
base."
Rather than propose development alternatives,
technology sharing, or massive changes in
consumption patterns, Meadows focussed on halting
population growth as the means to saving the
environment.
She noted that "Rich people have as hard a time
learning to consume less, as people in poor
countries have learning not to have so many
babies."
Her comments drew fire by both Nordic and Asian
observers inthe audience who challenged the basis
and conclusions of Meadows' findings.
"It is alarming and disturbing to come back to
demographics and this panic approach to population
after all that's been said about development,"
Kalpana Sharma of India said.
Meanwhile, according to a survey conducted by
the Pew Global Stewardship Initiative, 48 percent
of U.S. citizens consider rapid population growth
"a very serious problem," compared to 42 percent
who think the same about threats to the global
environment.
The survey, released Wednesday, finds that 73
percent of U.S. citizens believe a population
increase of three billion people in the next 20
years will have a negative impact on the
environment.
This despite the fact that every day, on
average, a U.S. citizen consumes his or her body
weight in resources extracted from farms, forests,
rangelands and mineral deposits.
The survey finds that some 52 percent of the
roughly 2,000 people surveyed worry that this
population increase "will worsen their quality of
life".
But resource consumption in the industrialised
world bears the lion's share of responsibility for
many global environmental problems, including
climate change and ozone depletion.
"Many voters indicated they cherish the ability
to consume more than people elsewhere, and many
people perceive their ability to consume at high
levels as an earned privilege," the survey
says.
It notes that rather then agree to change
lifestyles or ways of doing business to require
less consumption, most people surveyed prefer
instead to be less wasteful.
"Many voters recoil at the notion...of reducing
real comforts in their lives," the survey says.
Meanwhile, it finds that 57 percent of U.S.
citizens agree that rapid population growth in
developing countries is to blame for international
problems, including civil wars, regional conflict
and economic problems.
Moreover, 45 percent believe that "slowing
population growth in other countries" will reduce
immigration into the United States.
To this end, 55 percent of U.S. citizens are in
favour of U.S. programmes to intervene in other
countries to help slow population growth.
This 55 percent believes it is more important
for the U.S. to encourage developing countries to
lower their birth rates rather than to worry about
offending other peoples' cultures.
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