Limits to Growth

Significant Writings


A Blueprint for Survival

Contents

Statement of Support
  1. Introduction: The Need for Change
  2. Towards the Stable Society: Strategy for Change
  3. The Goal

Appendix A: Ecosystems and their disruption
Appendix B: Social systems and their disruption
Appendix C: Populations and food supply
Appendix D: Non-renewable resources

The Movement for Survival

References


The principal defect of the industrial way of life with its ethos of expansion is that it is not sustainable. Its termination within the lifetime of someone born today is inevitable - unless it continues to be sustained for a while longer by an entrenched minority at the cost of imposing great suffering on the rest of manklnd. We can be certain, however, that sooner or later it will end (only the precise time and circumstances are in doubt), and that it will do so in one of two ways: either against our will, in a succession of famines, epidemics, social crises and wars; or because we want it to - because we wish to create a society which will not impose hardship and cruelty upon our children - in a succession of thoughtful, humane and measured changes....

Radical change is both necessary and inevitable because the present increases in human numbers and per capita consumption, by disrupting ecosystems and depleting resources, are undermining the very foundations of survival. At present the world population of 3,600 million is increasing by 2 per cent per year (72 million), but this overall flgure conceals crucially important differences between countries...

The combination of human numbers and per capita consumption has a considerable impact on the environment, in terms of both the resources we take from it and the pollutants we impose on it....

It should go without saying that the world cannot accommodate this continued increase in ecological demand. Indefinite growth of whatever type cannot be sustained by finite resources. This is the nub of the environmental predicament. It is still iess possible to maintain indefinite exponential growth - and unfortunately the growth of ecological demand is proceeding exponentially (i.e. it is increasing geometrically, by compound interest)...

Back...