Areas
of an EIS where judgement comes in
Problem
definition
An
EIS requires that the proposed project be justified and alternatives
considered. Both justification and the framing of alternatives
will be shaped by the way the problem is defined that the project
is supposed to be solving. For example, in the Sydney Harbour
Tunnel EIS, the problem was said to be traffic congestion. Traffic
built up and slowed down on the approaches to the Sydney Harbour
Bridge, causing delays to people trying to cross the Harbour
by motor vehicle. A second crossing was therefore justified,
and alternatives framed, in terms of providing better road access
across the Harbour.
Opponents
to the Tunnel did not perceive congestion to be a problem at
all. Ted Mack, Mayor of North Sydney at the time the EIS was
displayed, argued that congestion shaped a city by encouraging
the movement of people and businesses to other parts of the
metropolitan area so that new centres of activity were established.
Ross Blunden, emeritus professor of traffic engineering, argued
that congestion encouraged people to change their journey times
or take public transport. Both concluded that a second crossing,
far from removing congestion, would merely attract more car
traffic and that congestion on both crossings would be the eventual
outcome.
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ScopeImpacts
to be covered in EIS
The
scope of what is to be covered in the EIS is also a matter of
judgement and the way it is decided varies from state to state.
In NSW, the proponent decides on the scope of the EIS after
receiving some direction from the Director of the Department
of Planning. In Victoria, the scope is decided in consultation
with the public. A narrow scope can make a project appear more
desirable. Using the previous example of the Sydney Harbour
Tunnel, one can see that, whilst the proponents could argue
that pollution would be reduced in the immediate vicinity of
the Harbour because of the smoother flowing traffic, a broader
scope would have ensured that the wider impacts of increased
car usage were also taken into account.
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Data
collection and analysis
The
design of an EIS study requires judgements of what types of
impacts will be significant and the collection of data requires
decisions about the time period and area over which samples
are collected, the species to be studied and the quantities
of individual specimens to be collected, and more generally
the scale of study. Such decisions are not made only on the
basis of what might be considered by a scientist to be appropriate,
but will also be affected by considerations of cost, time availability,
previous studies and perhaps even likely outcome.
Similarly,
methods of analysing data can vary in the sorts of results they
produce and data they require and those preparing an EIS will
choose the methods using many criteria, apart from the 'purely
scientific'. Even where the method of analysis is uncontroversial,
assumptions and judgements will need to be fed into the analysis.
For example, a cost-benefit analysis for a road project will
require estimates of the value of time saved and may require
estimates of the value of bushland or open space lost to the
community. Most EISs require some form of forecasting of population
numbers or other human activities and this requires assumptions
such as where people are likely to live and work and what their
habits will be in the future.
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Data
interpretation
Data
collected and the results of analyses can be interpreted in
a number of ways. Naturally an EIS is likely to present the
most favourable interpretation that is available. Again Sydney
Water Board EISs provide the most blatant examples. The results
of a 1973 fish contamination study were reported in their EISs
for the deepwater ocean outfalls. The study showed that heavy
metals exceeded maximum residue limits in ten out of eighteen
organisms (including fish and mussels) taken near the outfalls.
At the time the study was done an internal memo states that
the Board and its consultants were concerned about the results:
It
was agreed that, while the data only represented analyses of
individual specimens, levels of heavy metals and pesticides
detected in this small number of samples were such as to suggest
that a potential public health threat or environmental hazard
might exist within the study area...
Yet
when the EIS for the Bondi outfall was published in 1979, the
Water Board actually stated that
"Whilst
the statistical significance of the 1973 survey is not able
to be clearly established the results are encouraging in that
they indicate that no serious environmental problem existed
even prior to the full implementation of source control of restricted
substances..."
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Presentation
Even
though real world engineering is fraught with uncertainties
an EIS can be carefully worded to avoid any impression that
anything is uncertain. For example, a draft environmental impact
statement prepared by Byron Shire Council at the end of 1987
was given to me the week before publication. It contained the
sentences;
"
There should be little, if any, impact from the development,
upon the S.E.P.P. 14 wetland within the site...
A
less than satisfactory result in the performance of the works
and associated artificial wetlands would result in a forced
abandonment of the wetlands disposal option and cause Council
to again pursue the ocean outfall option with its inherent
high cost and public opposition."
These
sentences were omitted from the final published version of the
EIS and the following inserted in their place:
"
Monitoring results indicate no effect on the adjoining wetland
areas...
A
close monitoring programme will enable Council to assess the
performance of the proposed ponds and to determine the need
for additional wetland areas."
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